Carlin Economics and Science

With emphasis on climate change

Green Energy Train to Energy Poverty: How Environmental Activists and Liberal Politicians Are ‘Grubering’ America on Climate and Energy

Guest essay by Joseph D’Aleo, CCM MIT professor Jonathan Gruber, who was an advisor to Obama on the Obamacare Act mocked the “stupidity” of American voters and boasted of the Obama Administration’s ability to take advantage of it. They did that for Obamacare but also, in partnership with the environmental left for their regulatory siege,

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White House Approval of the CSSR

As reported last week my understanding is that issuance of the Climate Science Special Report (CSSR) was approved by the White House. Approval reportedly came at a meeting chaired by Gary Cohn, the Director of the National Economic Council and chief economic adviser to President Trump. He previously served as President and Chief Operating Officer

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The Carbon Tax Option

Given the tax reform effort currently under way in Congress this would seem an appropriate time to consider the usefulness of a carbon tax to increase Federal revenue even though no such proposal (happily) is in the current tax bill. The first question, of course, is whether this perennial idea has any intrinsic merit. The

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EPA’s CPP Repeal Gambit

The major climate news this week has been EPA’s decision to propose repealing its “Clean” Power Plan (CPP) regulation promulgated in 2015, primarily on the basis of the very bad law and economics used by the Obama Administration in its promulgation, as explained in some detail in my 2015 book. The one clear winner will

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No Post Last Week

Due to extensive travel this past week it has not proved possible to prepare a blog post. I plan to do so during this upcoming week.

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How the CIC Is Working to Prevent EPA from Using Good Science

After several decades of pioneering work, the “environmental” movement was captured by environmental extremists during the last few decades of the last century; EPA, in turn, was effectively captured by the “environmental” movement starting during the Clinton Administration and in a very accelerated way during the Obama Administration. This capture of EPA was not limited

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The Real Potential Climate Problem Is Caused by the Climate Alarmists Themselves

The climate alarmists would like you to believe that Planet Earth is in danger of catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW). Their “evidence” are sophisticated global climate models that they claim can predict future temperatures. The models, of course, are built by the alarmists and, of course, yield the results they desire. They are basically worthless

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How Your Tax Dollars May Save Energy but End Up Penalizing Homeowners

Governments often intervene in markets. In a very few cases this can be justified because markets may provide important misleading signals because they do not take into account the effects of particular activities or products on those not involved in these activities or production or consumption of various products. This is the justification for many

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Why the Fossil Fuel Revolution Is Good for Both Humans and the Environment

The fossil fuel revolution that started in the Eighteen and Nineteenth Centuries was not planned by governments. It occurred because humans found fossil fuels useful in their daily lives. In later years fossil fuels made possible even more useful forms of energy generated using fossil fuels, particularly electricity. With assistance from increasing human ingenuity, the

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The Climate Alarmists’ Gross Perversion of the Word Clean

Climate alarmists have gone to endless efforts to gain public acceptance of their doomsday premise that the world must greatly reduce its use of fossil fuels to avoid catastrophic anthropogenic global warming. They have fudged the surface temperature data, used meaningless climate models, argued that human emissions of carbon dioxide will warm the planet despite

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New Research Report on the Validity of Global Average Surface Temperature Data and EPA’s GHG Endangerment Finding

A new report finds that the three Global Average Surface Temperatures (GAST) data sets used by climate alarmists are not a valid representation of reality, including their repeated claims of highest recorded average temperatures. Authored by Drs. James P. Wallace III, Joseph S. d’Aleo, and Craig D. Idso, the new extensively peer reviewed research report

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Why I Spend So Much Time and Effort on Climate Skepticism

I am sometimes asked why I spend so much time on climate skepticism. Why not just ignore the climate issue and let the climate alarmists have their way at the expense of everyone else, particularly the less wealthy? The full answer can be found in my book, but the short answer is that there is

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The Deplorable Truth about Decarbonization

The deplorable truth is that the Climate Industrial Complex (CIC) is pushing exactly in the wrong direction even if what they advocate were free (which is very very far from being the case). The CIC includes the mainstream media, the Democratic Party (which publicly adopted decarbonization last year as part of its Party platform), the

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Three Cheers for President Trump’s Action Today

I have to hand it to President Trump. He has now done what he said he would do by removing the US from the Paris climate non-treaty “Treaty.” The climate alarmists have predictably gone bonkers even though there is no objective basis for their concerns. Mr. Trump based his decision on the disproportionate cost of

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The Concerned Household Electricity Consumers Council Once Again Calls on President Trump and EPA to Revisit and Revoke the Scientifically Invalid CO2 Endangerment Finding

I have previously discussed how important it is for the US Environmental Protection Agency to revisit and revoke the EPA Endangerment Finding for Greenhouse Gases issued in 2009. To date the USEPA has not decided to do so. I have suggested how anyone who pays electric bills can petition the USEPA to do this. What

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A Particularly Lunatic Week for Climate Alarmism

The Climate Industrial Complex (CIC) cannot be accused of thinking small. At the state level, the approval of California bill SB52 by both houses of the state legislature means carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions must be lowered to levels 40% below levels measured in 1990. This is expected to necessitate the development of massive numbers of

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The Strange Absence of Science in the Paris “Treaty” Discussion

The climate topic du jour is whether President Trump should abandon the Paris non-treaty “treaty.” Most of the discussion seems to revolve around esoteric legal issues concerning what the US is allowed and not allowed to do as a result of President Obama’s agreement to the “treaty” without Senate consent. I find most of the

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The Major Effects an Invalid Scientific Hypothesis Can Have

Scientific hypotheses can have an enormous effects even if they are invalid, especially if they are widely believed. Can you guess which one I am describing? Here are some clues: What scientific hypothesis has been shown to be invalid? [See here and here for specific problems; for more general discussion see here.] leads to policies

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Shots Fired at Office Floor of Co-author of Research Report Showing Carbon Dioxide Has No Significant Effect on Global Warming

Over the weekend seven shots were fired at the office floor occupied by Dr. John Christy’s office on the campus of the University of Alabama at Huntsville. The “March for Science” went past the building on Saturday. Dr. Christy is Alabama State Climatologist, a prominent climate researcher, a climate skeptic, and co-author of a pathbreaking

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Second Edition of Pathbreaking Research Report Shows the Orwellian Nature of the “March for Science”

Despite Saturday’s so-called “March for Science,” the almost simultaneous release of a Second Edition of a Research Report showing the exact opposite of what some of the marchers claim to be the conclusions of climate science has brought home the Orwellian reality that the marchers have gotten their claims concerning what the science says exactly

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News Reports on Endangerment Finding Petitions to USEPA

On Sunday I added a post concerning one of two petitions I know of to the US Environmental Protection Agency to reconsider its Endangerment Finding (EF) for Greenhouse Gases issued in December, 2009. The EF is the legal basis for EPA’s subsequent efforts to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2). If it should be rescinded

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The Concerned Household Electricity Consumers Council Calls on President Trump and EPA to Reconsider and Vacate the Scientifically Invalid CO2 Endangerment Finding

I have previously discussed how important it is for the US Environmental Protection Agency to revisit and revoke the EPA Endangerment Finding for Greenhouse Gases issued in 2009. To date the USEPA has not decided to do so. I have suggested how anyone who pays electric bills can petition the USEPA to do this. What

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Why “Environmental” Groups Have Gone Mad

I am sure that I have long since been ex-communicated by most “environmental” groups, but I still regard myself as an environmentalist in that I believe that the natural world should be preserved when it can be shown that such action will also be economically beneficial. My goal is to improve both human welfare and

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Trump’s Energy Executive Order: A Good Beginning but Much More Is Needed

This week has been an important one in the battle over climate change. On March 28 Trump signed and released a new Executive Order (EO) on “Promoting Energy Independence and Economic Growth.” On March 29 the House Science Committee held a hearing on “Climate Science: Assumptions, Policy Implications, and the Scientific Method.” Trump’s Executive Order

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The Fundamental Issue in Climate Science Resolved

It has been a long time in coming, but we can now say with some confidence what the answer is to the most important question in climate science. As is all too well known, the climate alarmists have one fairly uniform answer, which they claim is part of their “consensus.” Climate skeptics, on the other

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A Particularly Troublesome Aspect of Climate Alarmism

Last week EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt stated that: “I think that measuring with precision human activity on the climate is something very challenging to do, and there’s tremendous disagreement about the degree of impact, so no, I would not agree that it’s a primary contributor to the global warming that we see.” I can only

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Government Intervention in the Energy Markets Is the Main Danger, Not CO2

The rumors concerning the Trump Administration’s climate policies are not all favorable. The Daily Caller says that the Trump Administration will issue an executive order to rescind or revise the Obama Administration’s so-called Clean Power Plan (CPP) next week. I count that as a plus and consistent with Trump’s campaign promises. But there is also

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How Climate Alarmists’ “Solution” Ignores Readily Available Scientific Evidence

Suppose you believe that the Earth is about to experience a catastrophic increase in its ground-level temperatures because of minor (compared to natural sources) human-caused emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), a very weak greenhouse gas. Additional effects are particularly minor at the higher atmospheric concentrations now being experienced. But you advocate reducing these emissions. This

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The Time Has Come to Implement Trump’s Environmental Campaign Promises

The Trump campaign promises to rationalize Federal Government environmental policy may be about to face their first major test. Trump’s nominee to head the US Environmental Protection Agency was confirmed today by the US Senate. Trump’s strong stand against environmental extremism during the campaign may have been delayed in its implementation by the need to

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The Carbon Tax Proposal that Never Dies Despite the Lack of Any Need for It

This week some Republican Party elders argued for a carbon tax as a replacement for the Obama Administration’s regulations mandating carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions reductions in the electric power generating industry, among others. I agree that if it were actually advantageous to reduce such emissions, a carbon tax approach offers advantages, including its greater efficiency

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Climate Stability and Political Stability

The basic scare tactic spread by climate alarmists is that climate is so unstable that a slow increase in a very minor but vital constituent of the atmosphere will result in runaway increases in global temperatures. It turns out that the climate system is actually amazingly stable, however, so none of the alarmists’ predictions have

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The Urgency of Revoking the USEPA’s GHG Endangerment Finding

The Trump Administration has been rolling out Executive orders on a daily basis to implement many of President Trump’s campaign promises. These include a number of orders related to environmental and energy policy. But possibly because Trump never made any promises related to revoking the USEPA Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Endangerment Finding (EF), there has been

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An America First Energy Plan

As expected, the Trump Administration has lost no time in emphasizing its plans to develop US energy resources, particularly on Federal land. This appeared in the last few hours on the White House website: Energy is an essential part of American life and a staple of the world economy. The Trump Administration is committed to

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A Major Gap in the Climate Alarmist Narrative

The UN and other climate alarmists claim that the climate will warm catastrophically unless immediate action is taken to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from fossil fuels. They claim that the very minor increases in heat generated by human-caused added CO2 will cause the alarming warming. This is highly unlikely because virtually all of the

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Why the Green Climate Scare Defies Millions of Years of Climate History

The UN IPCC reports on climate are truly unusual scientifically. Without any serious discussion or even an attempt to point out their unusual nature, they try to convince readers that the basic nature of Earth’s climate has been radically changed after millions of years, all because one very minor constituent of the atmosphere has been

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Why Climate Alarmists Have Missed the Big Picture

Climate alarmists are primarily concerned that man’s activities will result in Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW). They appear to have missed the big picture. Global atmospheric temperatures as well as atmospheric CO2 have been gradually and erratically falling for significant portions of Earth’s history, but not in unison. Successive ice ages are gradually and unevenly

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Fossil Fuel Energy Development: The Trump Administration’s Priority

It became ever clearer during the last week that the Trump Administration wants to emphasize low cost, reliable fossil fuel energy development and to deemphasize expensive and unreliable wind and solar development. Their latest nominations for Federal department heads in natural resource and environmental areas are uniformly climate skeptics and strong supporters of fossil fuel

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Reducing Human CO2 Emissions: A Non-Solution to a Non-Problem

The climate alarmists maintain that continued burning of fossil fuels will bring about catastrophic global warming/climate change and the world should not only greatly decrease CO2 emissions but recently that the world should even keep fossil fuels in the ground. They claim that the fossil fuels can be replaced by wind and solar (but not

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Why Climate/Energy Will Be the Real Test of the Trump Administration

There is probably no policy area where the “progressive” left has gone further off the deep end than climate/energy, especially during the Obama Administration. The policies they advocate have simply been insane since they make no economic, scientific, Constitutional/legal or even environmental sense. They make no economic sense because they would seriously decrease US competitiveness,

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A Proposed Early Priority for the Trump Administration: A Letter to USEPA to Reconsider and Withdraw Its GHG Endangerment Finding

In March, 2009 I prepared almost 100 pages of comments to EPA concerning the need to revise the draft Technical Support Document (TSD) for the EPA Endangerment Finding for Greenhouse Gases (GHGs). The three main points in my comments were that the Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW) hypothesis is invalid from a scientific viewpoint because

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Why You Should Trust the New Sophisticated Statistical Analysis and Other Evidence-based Studies on Climate, Not Politicians or the UN

President Obama and some other politicians want the world to spend tens if not hundreds of trillions of dollars to reduce the relatively minor (compared to other sources) human-caused emissions of carbon dioxide on the premise that that will reduce “global warming,” “climate change,” and (more recently) unusual and extreme weather. These enormous costs would

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Letter to 31 Scientific Societies Concerning a Letter They Sent to the US Congress on Climate Policy

In recent weeks I have described a very interesting new report using sophisticated econometric techniques to test a number of the hypotheses offered by alarmist climate scientists in a scientifically rigorous way. The findings of this new report add considerably to a developing alternative to “consensus” climate science. My book, Environmentalism Gone Mad, suggests some

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Left-wing Street Tactics Appear to Have Been Deployed Against Climate Skeptics Too, Not Just Trump

The non-MSM media are filled currently with video-supported accounts of staged demonstrations using what Breitbart calls “trained provocateurs” against Trump rallies using paid demonstrators. A prominent skeptic climate blogger even has a summary. It is reported, again with video support, that the organizations responsible for this have been paid indirectly by the Clinton campaign and

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Two Examples of the Enormous Real Costs of “Green” Power

As discussed more generally in my book, Environmentalism Gone Mad, the costs of wind and solar are not really understood by most citizens even though they will end up paying the enormous costs. Although when these costs are calculated they generally do not include the transfer of jobs and income to countries such as China

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A Devastating Reassessment of Alarmist Climate Science

In recent years, important hypotheses of alarmist climate science have been shown to be scientifically invalid despite alarmists’ claims that their hypotheses represent a “consensus” among climate scientists. Very generally, alarmists have supported dubious climate science that consistently blames carbon dioxide (CO2) for speculative future climate disasters, perhaps because it allows them to blame humans

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New Report Definitively Shows UN CAGW Hypothesis and IPCC Reports Invalid and Thus CPP and Paris Treaty Total Wastes

(Revised September 23, 2016 by addition of a new final section by Dr. James Wallace) As discussed in my book, Environmentalism Gone Mad, two of the reasonable inferences from the Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW) hypothesis (the scientific basis for the world climate scare pushed by the United Nations and the Obama Administration) are that

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Where the 2016 Presidential Election May Come Out on Climate

As I and others have pointed out, the US 2016 Presidential election may well be pivotal in determining the outcome of the long, bitter conflict over climate. There is still a little time before the Obama Administration’s climate regulations start seriously impacting and misdirecting electrical energy source selections and thus the US economy. But the

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Where Climate “Let’s Pretends” Lead

Whenever climate alarmism hits a roadblock, the alarmist response is always “let’s pretend.” And sure enough the problem goes away as far as the alarmists are concerned. After numerous previous “let’s pretends,” the movement pretended that the Paris agreement would solve the alleged climate problem if it were only ratified despite its many obvious flaws

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Climate Alarmism: Probably the Greatest Hoax/Scam in World History

Climate alarmism is probably the greatest hoax/scam in world history. The main evidence for catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW), the principal alleged adverse effect of human emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), is climate models built by CAGW supporters in a field where models with real predictive power do not exist and cannot be built with

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Another Fundamental Problem with Alarmist Climate Science

There are so many holes in the climate alarmist narrative that it is difficult to even keep track of them. The wonder is that the alarmists have gotten as far as they have with so many holes in their narrative. This blog has discussed a number of them, including: The high costs/even impossibility of fully

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How the Climate Alarmists Attempt to Mislead the Public and Dupe the Gullible: An Actual Example

Perhaps because of my environmental background, the Environmental Defense Fund (EDF) and other environmental organizations continue to hope that I will financially support their “fight” against climate change and waste postage and printing expenses in pursuing me. EDF’s latest form letter arrived in my mail box on July 25 signed by EDF’s Membership Director, Sam

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Why We Need More CO2 Emissions, Not Less

Several blog posts (see here and here) last week raised the question whether the world would be better off with human-engineered higher CO2 levels. I believe it would be, although our understanding of global climate is sketchy at best so absolute confidence is not appropriate. Higher atmospheric levels of CO2 have been shown to result

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German Energy Policy Sticks It to the Poor and Small Businesses

Like a number of Western European countries, Germany fell for the climate hoax and then added to its energy problems by deciding to phase out nuclear energy as well after Fukushima. In order to fulfill its green ideology, Germany has heavily subsidized solar and wind in recent years. The result is that German electricity costs

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Dem Party Platform Calls For Prosecuting Global Warming Skeptics and Ending Use of Fossil Fuels by 2050

For the first time the 2016 Presidential election may turn at least in part on climate policy. According to the Daily Caller: Democratic operatives responsible for creating their party’s platform this year have unanimously adopted a provision calling for the Department of Justice to investigate companies who disagree with Democrats on global warming science. A

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How a Court Threw Out a Major Obama Environmental Regulation and EPA Refused to Say How Global Temperatures Would Change under the Paris Treaty

One of perhaps the two major climate-related events this week was a court decision in Wyoming overturning a Department of the Interior regulation setting stricter standards for fracking on Federal lands. The judge (an Obama appointee) said that Congress had never given the Department authority for such regulations. The importance of this ruling is that

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The Allarmists’ Attempt to Villify Carbon Dioxide

Most environmentalists and sympathetic politicians want you to believe that carbon dioxide (CO2) is a “dirty,” dangerous air pollutant and human emissions of it must be reduced by any means possible if the world is to survive. This claim ignores the fact that CO2 is a natural but very minor constituent of the atmosphere that

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It is Increasingly Clear that the Presidential Election Will Determine the Outcome of the Climate Debate

As I reported last week the presumptive Republican Presidential nominee, Donald Trump, has clearly laid out a policy position opposed to the Obama Administration’s climate/energy policy. This contrasts strongly with the two Democratic Presidential candidates, who are far to the left of the Administration. Sanders advocates an end to the use of fossil fuels. This

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Trump Proposes a Radically Different and Better Energy Policy

The major climate news of the week was undoubtedly Donald Trump’s energy policy speech on May 26 in North Dakota. He offered a very different approach compared to that of President Obama and the even more radical proposed policies by the two Democratic Presidential candidates. Trump’s approach offers hope that the US may avoid the

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How Environmentalists Try to Defeat Their Own Primary Climate Goal

Environmental organizations would like you to believe that if you just send them more contributions and send more letters to your legislators advocating increased government intervention in the electric power sector to mandate reductions in carbon dioxide emissions that you will help save the world from whatever current version of climate apocalypse they claim will

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EPA Is At It Again

On May 12 the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued its final methane emissions regulation for new or modified oil and gas facilities. It requires that specified technology be used to reduce methane emissions. The effects on global temperatures will not be measurable even if the regulation achieves everything EPA claims it will. It will,

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Clinton’s “Misstatement” on Coal

It is becoming ever clearer that the 2016 Presidential election will determine the outcome of the US climate debate for at least the next four years rather than any scientific discussion. And except for a minor question mark concerning the faint possibility of a Sanders nomination, the 2016 election contest is coming down to Clinton

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The Major Problems with the Climate Alarmist Narrative

Over the last seven years I have outlined a number of serious problems with the warmist/climate alarmist narrative, including the following: (1) The alleged “problem” that the alarmists/warmists are trying to solve is Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW)–the hypothesis that catastrophic increases in global temperatures will be caused by expanded or even continued human use

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The Paris Climate Treaty Signing Debacle

Today Secretary of State Kerry signed the proposed Paris climate treaty for the US. His signature will not actually commit the US to do anything, of course, since the treaty will not become an obligation of the US unless and until it is ratified by the Senate, which is highly unlikely. As in a number

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How Britain and Germany Have Led the Way to Energy Bankruptcy

There are many shortcomings in the climate warmist narrative, as explained in much more detail in my book, Environmentalism Gone Mad. It is actually hard to paper over all of the problems, but the warmists of the Western World have been quite imaginative in this regard. I find the climate science promoted by the warmists

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Is It Worth Tripling US Electricity Rates as a Symbolic Gesture?

On July 9, 2015 EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy claimed that the purpose of EPA’s “Clean Power Plan” to reduce carbon dioxide emissions from power plant emissions, was “in showing strong domestic action which can actually trigger global action to address what’s a necessary action to protect” [presumably against climate change]. I have argued that the

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Scientifically Unsupported Climate Fears Spread to Fracking

I have previously pointed out that Hillary Clinton, the leading US Democratic Party Presidential candidate, has positioned herself to the left of President Obama on climate. A few weeks ago she told an environmental activist that she wanted to end the use of fossil fuels in the US. She has now stated she is effectively

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